Kuva hagati mu kwezi k'Ukwakira, bitewe nuko habayeho kugabanuka k'ingufu z'inganda no gukomeza kuzamuka k'uruhande rw'ibikoresho bitanga ingufu, igiciro cya ferroalloy futures cyakomeje kugabanuka, aho igiciro gito cya ferrosilicon cyagabanutse kikagera kuri yuan 9.930 kuri toni, naho igiciro gito cya silicomanganese kikagera kuri yuan 8.800 kuri toni. Mu rwego rwo kugarura ibikoresho no gukenera ibintu mu buryo buhamye, twizera ko ferroalloy zizakomeza kugabanuka, ariko kumanuka n'umwanya bizahinduka ku giciro cy'ibikoresho fatizo bishingiye kuri karubone ku kiguzi.
Itangwa ry'ibicuruzwa rikomeje kwiyongera
Mu minsi mike ishize, inganda nyinshi za ferrosilicon mu gace ka Zhongwei muri Ningxia zatanze ubusabe bwo gufunga amashanyarazi mu matanura y’amazi, kandi uruganda rw’amashanyarazi rwa sosiyete ikora alloy muri Guizhou nta makara rushobora kugura, bigaragaza ko hari amahirwe yo guhagarika umusaruro. Ihungabana ry’ibura ry’amashanyarazi ku ruhande rw’amashanyarazi ryagiye ribaho rimwe na rimwe, ariko kurinda amakara y’ubushyuhe byagize ingaruka zikomeye, kandi umusaruro wa ferroalloy ukomeje kwiyongera. Kuri ubu, umusaruro wa ferrosilicon mu bigo by’icyitegererezo ni toni 87.000, wiyongereyeho toni miliyoni 4 ugereranije n’icyumweru gishize; igipimo cy’imikorere ni 37.26%, wiyongereyeho amanota 1.83 ugereranije n’icyumweru gishize. Itangwa ry’amashanyarazi ryongerewe mu byumweru bibiri bikurikirana. Muri icyo gihe, umusaruro wa silico-manganese mu bigo by’icyitegererezo wari toni 153.700, wiyongereyeho toni 1.600 ugereranije n’icyumweru gishize; Igipimo cy’imikorere cyari 52.56%, cyiyongereyeho amanota 1.33 ku ijana ugereranije n’icyumweru gishize. Ingano ya silicomanganese yongeye kwiyongera mu byumweru bitanu bikurikirana.
Muri icyo gihe kandi, umusaruro w'ibyuma wariyongereye. Amakuru aheruka agaragaza ko umusaruro w'ibicuruzwa bitanu by'ingenzi by'ibyuma ku rwego rw'igihugu wari toni miliyoni 9.219, ugereranyije n'icyumweru gishize, kandi umusaruro w'ibyuma bya buri munsi na wo wariyongereyeho gato. Mu bihembwe bitatu bya mbere by'uyu mwaka, umusaruro w'ibyuma bya kera byo mu gihugu wiyongereyeho toni zigera kuri miliyoni 16 ugereranije n'igihe nk'icyo cy'umwaka ushize, kikiri kure y'intego yo kugabanya umusaruro yashyizweho na Minisiteri y'Inganda n'Ikoranabuhanga mu by'ibyuma. Umusaruro w'ibyuma bya kera ntushobora kwiyongera cyane mu Gushyingo, kandi muri rusange icyifuzo cy'ibikoresho bya ferroalloy cyitezwe kuba gito.
Nyuma y’uko igiciro cya ferroalloy futures kigabanutse cyane, ingano y’inyemezabwishyu zo mu bubiko yagabanutse cyane. Kugabanyirizwa kunini kuri disiki, kwiyongera k’ubushake bwo guhindura inyemezabwishyu zo mu bubiko kugira ngo zimenyekane, byongeye kandi, inyungu igaragara y’ibiciro by’amanota ihendutse, byose byagize uruhare mu kugabanuka gukomeye k’ingano y’inyemezabwishyu zo mu bubiko. Ukurikije ububiko bw’ibigo, ububiko bwa silicomanganese bwagabanutseho gato, bigaragaza ko ibicuruzwa bihari bike cyane.
Ukurikije uko Hegang yari ahagaze mu byuma byagurishijwe mu Ukwakira, igiciro cya ferrosilicon ni Yuan 16,000 kuri toni, naho igiciro cya silicomanganese ni Yuan 12,800 kuri toni. Igiciro cy'igiciro cyagurishijwe kuri icyuma kiri hejuru cyane ugereranyije n'ibiciro by'ejo hazaza byo mu cyumweru gishize. Bishobora kugira ingaruka mbi ku giciro cya ferroalloys.
Inkunga ku biciro iracyari
Nyuma y’uko igiciro cya ferroalloy futures kigabanutse cyane, cyabonye inkunga hafi y’ikiguzi cya stop cost. Ukurikije ibiciro biheruka byo gukora, ferrosilicon iri kuri yuan 9.800/toni, igabanuka rya yuan 200/toni ugereranyije n’igihe cyashize, ahanini bitewe n’igabanuka ry’igiciro cya karubone y’ubururu. Kuri ubu, igiciro cy’amakara y’ubururu ni yuan 3.000/toni, kandi igiciro cya coke futures cyagabanutse cyane kigera kuri yuan 3.000/toni. Igabanuka ry’igiciro cy’amakara y’ubururu mu gihe cya nyuma ni ibyago bikomeye byo kugabanya ikiguzi cya ferrosilicon. Niba igipimo cy’amakara y’ubururu kizamuka cyane, igiciro cy’amakara y’ubururu kizamanuka kigera kuri yuan 2.000/toni, kandi igiciro cya ferrosilicon kizaba hafi yuan 8.600/toni. Ukurikije uko isoko rya karubone y’ubururu riheruka kuzamuka, hari igabanuka rikomeye mu duce tumwe na tumwe. Mu buryo nk’ubwo, igiciro cya silicomanganese ni yuan 8500/toni. Niba igiciro cya coke y’icyiciro cya kabiri cya metallurgike kigabanukaho yuan 1.000/toni, igiciro cya silicomanganese kizamanuka kigere kuri yuan 7800/toni. Mu gihe gito, inkunga y’ikiguzi cya static ya yuan 9.800/toni kuri ferrosilicon na yuan 8.500/toni kuri silicomanganese iracyafite agaciro, ariko mu gihe giciriritse, ibiciro by’ibikoresho fatizo bya karuboni y’ubururu na coke y’icyiciro cya kabiri cya metallurgike biracyafite ingaruka mbi, zishobora gutuma ikiguzi cya ferroalloys kigabanuka. Gahoro gahoro.
Ibande ku gusana urufatiro
Ishingiro ry'amasezerano ya ferrosilicon 2201 ni yuan 1,700 kuri toni, naho ishingiro ry'amasezerano ya silicomanganese 2201 ni yuan 1,500 kuri toni. Igabanywa rya disiki riracyari rikomeye. Igabanywa rikomeye kuri disiki ya futures ni kimwe mu bintu bishyigikira igaruka ry'inyuma muri disiki. Ariko, icyerekezo cy'isoko ry'inyuma ubu ntikihamye kandi imbaraga zo kugaruka kw'inyuma ntabwo zihagije. Byongeye kandi, bitewe n'igabanuka ry'ibiciro byo gukora ahantu hatandukanye, hari amahirwe menshi ko ishingiro rizasanwa mu buryo bwo kugabanuka kw'inyuma kugira ngo hagere ku bihe bizaza.
Muri rusange, twizera ko igabanuka ry’amasezerano yo mu 2201 ritigeze rihinduka. Ni byiza kugabanya imbaraga mu guterana, hibandwa ku gitutu kiri hafi ya ferrosilicon 11500-12000 yuan/toni, silicomanganese 9800-10300 yuan/toni, na ferrosilicon 8000-8600 yuan/toni. Toni na silicomanganese 7500-7800 yuan/toni inkunga iri hafi.